Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.660871 0.844782 1.051556 1.298612 1.583125 1.897983 2.270205
2025-09-21 0.410406 0.640165 0.931758 1.316783 1.799753 2.374133 3.097182
2025-09-28 0.243387 0.474489 0.807551 1.291242 1.945346 2.770799 3.862159
2025-10-05 0.152725 0.375988 0.740186 1.315693 2.143884 3.238766 4.740696
2025-10-12 0.092739 0.296930 0.675893 1.324876 2.312239 3.670512 5.591427
2025-10-19 0.049503 0.221569 0.592448 1.283878 2.395647 3.984192 6.295069
2025-10-26 0.024896 0.166851 0.525979 1.253026 2.482750 4.299494 7.007009
2025-11-02 0.012736 0.133232 0.488802 1.262529 2.627393 4.698611 7.844559
2025-11-09 0.004686 0.097505 0.431202 1.221101 2.680867 4.960804 8.493616
2025-11-16 0.002170 0.084029 0.423715 1.274225 2.893336 5.467754 9.505787
2025-11-23 0.000572 0.066089 0.394867 1.276981 3.016281 5.839636 10.330193
2025-11-30 0.000195 0.060515 0.402258 1.358040 3.281434 6.440677 11.505018
2025-12-07 0.000020 0.051888 0.396101 1.409943 3.501259 6.985056 12.621713
2025-12-14 NaN 0.041899 0.378939 1.433345 3.669805 7.453981 13.639204
2025-12-21 NaN 0.030152 0.344663 1.408338 3.743983 7.771797 14.436259
2025-12-28 NaN 0.024117 0.332047 1.435362 3.918687 8.258530 15.500327
2026-01-04 NaN 0.018349 0.314571 1.445654 4.059519 8.691724 16.489714
2026-01-11 NaN 0.011710 0.280591 1.402363 4.087899 8.935189 17.189062
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007296 0.252775 1.369696 4.133674 9.207252 17.936479
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005084 0.239905 1.379869 4.269089 9.636230 18.937983
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002636 0.212516 1.335836 4.283457 9.853155 19.605753
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002131 0.214499 1.392356 4.521418 10.469321 20.921431
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001243 0.202147 1.395295 4.639337 10.874624 21.904432